参数效应的仿真与反馈环及延迟三组合分析法——以场供给侧改革为例

A three-combination analysis method of parametric regulation effect simulation and feedback loop and delay——Taking the reform of the supply side of the field as an example

规划落实、政策执行、措施实施皆是通过参数调控系统相关发展速度实现,为此进行参数调控流率效应方法研究.调控流率效应研究必须建立参数调控的可靠性高的模型,必须进行仿真、反馈环、延迟3组合分析,才可能具体清楚回答运行中的问题,实际应用需要,查文献还未见此种三组合分析法,为此,进行“参数调控流率入树建模和仿真、反馈环、延迟三组合分析法”研究.顶天立地,通过南昌大学系统工程科研教学基地明鑫农场供给侧改革,生产雷竹笋、有机鱼、有机生猪特色农产品系统实例,阐述此“三组合分析法”.首先基于逐树设撤关联数结构行为检验法,建立场的8参数调控的8棵流率基本入树可靠性高的模型.接着,依据实际分析与场规划,分别确定8参数的调控区间,设参数的调控区间最小值组合为最不满意方案,区间最大值组合为最满意方案,对两方案进行参数调控效应仿真分析.随后,建立8阶参数枝向量行列式计算反馈环,获12条参数调控反馈环.接着,分别围绕雷竹笋产业、有机鱼产业和开发青饲料发展有机猪促进圈养猪转型3个子系统的6条反馈环分别进行反馈环结构图、反馈环正负极性、延迟阶数确定研究后,进行仿真、反馈环、延迟3结合具体分析结果,然后,依据3结合的具体分析和反馈环、延迟原理,提出了供给侧改革的操作性强的管理思路与技术.通过研究,建立了实际背景强的“参数调控入树流率建模和仿真、反馈环、延迟三组合分析”新方法.

Planning implementation,policy implementation and enforcement measures have been achieved with the relevant development speed of the parameter regulation system.For this reason,the method ofparameter regulation in-tree rate effect is studied.To study the regulation rate effect,it is necessary to establish a highly reliable model of parameter regulation,to carry out three-combination analyses with simulation,feedback loop and delay,so that it is possible to specifically answer the questions in operation, according to the needs of practical applications,the three-combination analysis method has not been found in the literature.Therefore,the three-combination analysis method of modeling and simulation of parameter regulation in-tree rate,feedback loop and delay is researched.Combined with the reality,this paper takes the supply side reform of Mingxin Farm in Nanchang University System Engineering Research and Teaching Base for instance,whose specialty agricultural products include organic pig,organic fish and Leizhu bamboo,explains a three-combination analysis method.Firstly,based on the modeling method of structure behavior inspection in-tree step-by-step,a high reliability model of 8 rate variable fundamental in-trees with 8 parameters regulation is established;then,according to the actual analysis and the farm's planning,the regulation intervals of 8 parameters are determined respectively,furthermore,the minimum combination of the regulation intervals of the parameters is the most unsatisfactory scheme,and the maximum combination of the intervals is the most satisfactory scheme,and the simulation analysis of the parameter regulation effects of the two schemes are carried out respectively.Then,the branch vector determinant with the 8 order parameter is built to calculate the feedback loops,and 12 parameter regulation feedback loops are obtained.And then feedback loop structure diagram,positive and negative polarity and delay order of six feedback loops about 3 topics for Leizhu bamboo shoot product,organic fish and green,and organic pig,organic fish,captive pig transformation are determined,the three-combination analysis method of parametric effect simulation and feedback loop and delay is studied.Lastly,based on the specific analysis of the three-combination analysis and the feedback loop and delay principle,the management ideas and techniques of the supply side reform are put forward.Therefore,a new method with strong background-the three-combination analysis of parametric effect simulation and feedback loop and delay is established through research in the paper.