基于辽宁省的水环境承载力分析

Analysis of Water Environmental Carrying Capacity in Liaoning Province

为了进一步完善向量模法与动态模拟递推算法理论体系并定量分析各因素对水环境的综合影响,文章以辽宁省为例分别采用两种不同的方法分析了该区域水环境承载力。研究表明:向量模与动态模拟递推算法具有较好的准确性和适用性,分析结果更加客观、全面能较好的反映区域承载力实际状况; 2040年辽宁省承载力在水资源供给的角度一定的风险,但整体来看表现出逐渐得到改善的发展趋势。

In order to improve the theoretical system vector-magnitude method and dynamic simulation recursive algorithm further,and to analyze the impact from various factors on the water environment quantitatively,two different methods were used to analyze the water environment carrying capacity of the area in Liaoning Province.The results show that the recursive algorithm of vector module and dynamic simulation has better accuracy and applicability,and the analysis results can reflect the actual situation of regional carrying capacity more objectively and comprehensively;the carrying capacity of Liaoning Province in 2040 has a certain risk from the perspective of water supply,but it shows a trend of gradual improvement on the whole.