中国对世界经济增长贡献的路径分析——基于省际面板数据的分析

The Path Analysis of China's Contribution to World Economic Growth:An Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

2008年国际金融危机后世界经济复苏乏力并深陷增长困境,而中国对世界经济增长的贡献却逐年提升。通过2000—2016年中国31个省份的聚类固定效应模型,实证分析中国对世界经济增长贡献的路径,研究发现:中国对世界经济增长贡献率的提升得益于中国对外经济开放程度的扩大;通过增加固定资产投资实现国内的再生产将有助于中国经济实现高质量增长进而提振世界经济;外商投资流入对于世界经济增长的影响并不显著。最后得出中国需要秉持正确的义利观,扎实稳步推进"一带一路"建设;坚持对外开放的基本方针,完善新时代对外开放布局;扩大国内市场的再生产,实现经济高质量增长。

The world economy is sluggish and mired in the growth dilemma after the international financial crisis in 2008,while China’s contribution to the world economic growth is increasing year by year. Based on the cluster fixed effect model of 31 provinces from 2000 to 2016,an empirical analysis is made on the path of China’s contribution to world economic growth. Study shows that the increase of China’s contribution to world economic growth is attributed to the expansion of China’s opening to the outside world. Increasing investment in fixed assets to achieve domestic reproduction will be conducive to achieving high-quality growth of China’s economy and further boost the world economy. The impact of the inflow of foreign investment on world economic growth is not significant. Finally,it is concluded that China should promote "The Belt and Road"construction steadily by upholding friendship and justice,and pursue shared interests. China should stick to the basic policy of opening to the outside world and improve the layout of opening to the outside world in the new era. The reproduction in the domestic market should be expanded to achieve high-quality economic growth.