中国西部民族地区产业结构优化升级的城镇减贫效应研究

Research on the Urban Poverty Reduction Effect of Optimizing and Upgrading the Industrial Structure in the Western Ethnic Minority Regions of China

基于西部民族8省区2000—2015年数据,使用两阶段最小二乘法对产业结构优化升级的城镇减贫效应进行系统分析。研究发现:西部民族地区产业结构高度化的提升将显著降低城镇贫困发生强度,且在收入差距较大的地区,其减贫效应越大;产业结构合理化的推进有助于降低城镇贫困发生率和贫困深度,但本地收入分配状况的恶化将阻碍其效应发挥。从行业层面看,住宿和餐饮业的适度发展在推动产业结构高度化的同时将显著降低城镇贫困发生率;采矿业、水利、环境和公共设施管理业的城镇减贫效应在产业结构越不合理的地区较大;房地产业的城镇减贫效应则与本地产业结构合理化水平呈正比。最后,基于研究结论提出了针对性建议。

Based on the data of eight ethnic minority provinces and regions in western China from 2000 to 2015,a two-stage least squares method is used to systematically analyze the urban poverty reduction effect of optimizing and upgrading industrial structure.The study finds that the increase in the industrial structure supererogation in western ethnic minority areas will significantly reduce the intensity of urban poverty,and the poverty reduction effect becomes stronger in regions with larger income gaps;the development of the industrial structure rationalization will help to reduce the incidence rate and the depth of urban poverty,but the deterioration of local income distribution will hinder this effect.From the perspective of different industries,the moderate development of the accommodation and catering industry will significantly reduce the incidence of urban poverty while promoting the local industrial structure supererogation to a higher level;the urban poverty reduction effects of the mining industry,water conservancy,environment and public facility management industry are larger in the regions where their industrial structure is more unreasonable ;the urban poverty reduction effect of real estate industry has positive correlations with the rationalization level of local industrial structure.Finally,specific recommendations were made based on the conclusions.