林业产业调控政策的经济效应问题研究:1949-2015

Research on the Economic Effects of Forestry Industry Regulation and Control Policies: 1949-2015

产业整合与产业分化是重要的经济现象,经济持续增长的因素在很大程度上受到产业整合与分化规则、模式和进程的影响。文章利用1949~2015年统计资料对我国林业产业整合与分化现象进行分析,结果表明,建国以来林业产业经历了显著的政策性整合与分化进程,而政策干预性分化和技术进步性分化都不同程度影响了林业产业增长过程,分化的主要特征是产品与服务的多样化、组织结构调整,特别是企业数量的大幅度减少等。其中,技术进步性分化主要在于人造板材对原木木材的替代产品增加等方面。此外,从1995~2015年数据分析,林业基础建设投资和林业总产值之间产出弹性系数为0.76,林业产业存在投资占产值比例逐渐提高的显著趋势。

Industrial integration and industrial differentiation are important economic phenomena. The sustained economic growth is largely influenced by rules, models and processes of industrial integration and differentiation.This paper analyzed the integration and differentiation of China’s forestry industry by using 1949-2015 statistics.The results showed that: the forestry industry has experienced significant policy integration and differentiation since the founding of the People’s Republic of China, while policy intervention differentiation and technological progress differentiation has affected the growth process of the forestry industry to varying degrees. The main characteristics of differentiation are the diversification of products and services, the adjustment of organizational structure, especially the large reduction in the number of enterprises. Among them, the technological advancement is mainly due to the increase in the replacement of artificial wood for natural wood. In addition, from 1995-2015 data analysis,the output elasticity coefficient between forestry infrastructure investment and total forestry output value is 0.76, and the forestry industry has a significant trend of increasing investment-to-output ratio.