国内外聚异戊二烯橡胶市场分析

Analysis of Global and Domestic Polyisoprene Rubber Markets

分析国内外聚异戊二烯橡胶(IR)的市场现状及发展前景。2017年世界IR总年生产能力为101万t,总消费量为62. 1万t,预计2017—2022年世界IR需求量以年均2. 7%的增长率增长,到2022年达到71. 0万t。2017年我国IR年生产能力为29万t,表观消费量为10万t,产品自给率为58%,预计2022年我国IR需求量为15万t,产品自给率达到65%～70%。世界IR发展速度将继续放缓,生产能力不会大幅增加,下游消费领域仍将以轮胎为主,医药领域应用将是IR需求增长的主要推动力。目前我国IR装置开工率较低,产品同质化现象比较严重,市场竞争力不足,高端产品仍依赖进口。我国IR企业应该加快新产品、新技术和应用技术研究,提高产品质量,在满足国内需求的同时积极开拓出口市场。

The present situation and development prospects of the global and domestic markets of polyisoprene rubber (IR)were analyzed.In 2017,the global total annual production capacity of IR was 1.01 million tons and the total consumption was 0.621 million tons.The demand for IR in the global market was expected to grow at an average annual growth rate of 2.7% during the period 2017-2022 and reach to 0.71 million tons by 2022.In 2017,the domestic total annual production capacity of IR was 0.29 million tons, the apparent consumption was 0.10 million tons,and the self-sufficiency rate of products was 58%.It was estimated that domestic demand for IR will reach to 0.15 million tons by 2022,and the self-sufficiency rate of products will reach to 65%~70%.The development of global IR industry will continue to slow down,the production capacity will not increase significantly,the downstream consumption will continue to be dominated by tires,and medical applications will be the main driving force for the growth of demand for IR.At present,the operating rate of domestic IR plants was low.The homogenization phenomenon of domestic IR products was more serious,resulting in insufficient market competitiveness,and high-end products were still dependent on imports.Domestic IR enterprises should speed up research on new products, new technologies and application technologies,improve product quality,and actively explore export markets while meeting domestic demand.