欧亚经济联盟:发展现状与初步成果

The Eurasian Economic Union: Current State and Preliminary Results

当前欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)的建设成果需要加以评估。一方面,欧亚经济联盟并不是一个完美无瑕的"成功故事"。在最初的快速发展之后,欧亚经济联盟目前的成长速度已经放缓。但另一方面,它也取得了很大的成就。对于欧亚经济联盟最佳的观察视角,并不是要将其视为区域经济一体化一般规则中的例外,而是要将其看作一个正常运转的关税同盟。这个关税同盟在向其他发达经济体所建立的区域经济一体化组织学习的过程中,不断完善,取得了一定的成功,但也面临着很多发展障碍。本文回顾了欧亚经济联盟机制的现状,商品和服务的单一市场的建设情况,成员国之间的相互贸易和投资流动状况,正在推进的消除非关税壁垒的工作,宏观经济政策的有效协调问题,建立欧亚自由贸易区网络的进展情况,共同劳动力市场的建设状况,以及五个成员国对欧亚一体化的舆论动态。

This paper assesses the current results of the establishment of the Eurasian Economic Union(EAEU). On the one hand, the EAEU has not been an impeccable "success story". The EAEU’s progress has slowed after initial rapid progress. On the other hand, it has achieved much. The EAEU is best viewed not as an exception to general rules of regional economic integration, but rather as a functioning customs union with its own successes and stumbling blocks, enriched by several additional quite developed areas of economic integration. This paper reviews the state of Eurasian institutions, the single market for goods and services, the state of mutual trade and investment flows among member states, ongoing work to eliminate non-tariff barriers, problems pertaining to the efficient coordination of macroeconomic policies, progress toward establishing an EAEU network of free trade areas, the state of the common labor market, and the dynamics of public opinion relative to Eurasian integration in the five member states.