制度质量、自然资源禀赋与出口技术复杂度

Institutional Quality,Natural Resource Endowment and Technological Sophistication of Export

运用全球62个国家2000—2015年服务贸易出口数据组建跨国面板数据,对服务贸易出口复杂度的传统测算方法进行改进,并基于内生增长理论和成本发现模型挖掘服务贸易出口技术复杂度的影响因素,利用系统GMM统计方法实证分析了制度质量和自然资源禀赋等影响因素对出口技术复杂度的影响。研究发现:(1)自然资源禀赋与制度质量两者间的交互作用能够显著地促进出口技术复杂度的提升。(2)人力资本、资本存量、基础设施、企业数量以及对外开放度均能在不同程度上提升出口技术复杂度。(3)发达国家和发展中国家的出口技术复杂度对上述影响因素的反应程度存在差异。

By constructing the transnational panel data on the basis of service export data from 2000 to 2015 in 62 countries around the world,this paper makes improvements on the traditional measurement method for the export sophistication of service trade and explores the influencing factors of technological sophistication of service trade export based on the theory of endogenous growth and the cost discovery model. Then by using the system GMM statistical method,it analyzes the influence on technological sophistication of export from factors such as institutional quality and natural resource endowment. The research shows: 1) The interaction between natural resource endowment and institutional quality can significantly promote the technological sophistication of export. 2) Human resource,capital stock,infrastructure,number of enterprises,and openness to the outside world can increase the technological sophistication of export to different degrees. 3) There are differences in the response to above-mentioned influencing factors of technological sophistication of export in developed and developing countries.