亚太区域经济合作中的制度博弈

The Institutional Games of the Economic Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific Region

2008年全球金融危机以来,在亚太区域经济秩序转型的背景下,区域合作机制成为亚太经济体进行战略竞争的内容和工具。制度博弈成为亚太经济体战略互动的新常态。制度博弈的目标在于竞争社会性权力资源和最大限度地满足规则偏好。制度博弈容易导致区域经济治理机制碎片化,也可能会促使区域经济合作规则不断趋近。从区域层面来看,亚太区域经济合作中的制度博弈表现为区域一体化的路径之争和区域经济合作的规则之争。从发展趋势来看,中美之间的制度博弈呈现出长期性、严峻性和多样性。中日之间的制度博弈具有从属性和可塑性。东盟在制度博弈中将继续保持对冲战略。

Since the global financial crisis in 2008,in the context of the transformation of the economic order in the Asia-Pacific region,the regional cooperation mechanism has become the contents and tools for strategic competition among the Asia-Pacific economies. The institutional games have become the new normal of the strategic interaction among the Asia-Pacific economies. The goal of the institutional games is to compete for the resources of social power and to maximize regulatory preferences. Institutional games are likely to lead to the fragmentation of regional economic governance mechanism,and may also lead to the continual convergence of regional economic cooperation rules. Seen from a regional perspective,the institutional games in the Asia-Pacific regional economic cooperation are manifested as the tussles for the path of regional integration and the rules of regional economic cooperation. Seen from the perspective of development trends,the institutional gaming between China and the United States shows its long-term,serious and diverse nature. The institutional gaming between China and Japan are expected to be subordinate and plastic. And ASEAN continues to maintain a hedging strategy in the institutional games.