基于灰色关联分析的广西区域物流与经济发展的互动研究

Interactive Research on Regional Logistics and Economic Development in Guangxi Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

在"一带一路"背景下,地区经济增长带动区域物流发展,区域物流水平促进地方经济发展,两者相互影响、相辅相成.本研究选取广西2001年至2016年的统计数据,以历年货运量为参考数列衡量区域物流水平,以广西地区生产总值、人均地区生产总值、全社会固定资产投资、外贸进出口总额、社会消费品零售总额、财政收入、农林牧渔业总产值、邮电业务总量等经济发展评价指标为比较数列,利用灰色关联综合评价法来分析区域物流与经济发展的关联性,探讨影响广西区域物流发展的主要经济因素.实证分析结果表明,广西经济发展相关性最大的是农林牧渔业和第一产业,据此提出广西区域物流未来发展的对策与建议.

Under the background of "One Belt, One Road",regional economic growth drives regional logistics development, and regional logistics level promotes local economic development. The two influence each other and complement each other. This study selects the statistical data of Guangxi from 2001 to 2016, and uses the freight volume of the past years as a reference to measure the regional logistics level, with the gross domestic product of Guangxi, the per capita GDP, the investment in fixed assets of the whole society,the total import and export volume, and society. The economic development evaluation indicators such as total retail sales of consumer goods, fiscal revenue, total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, and total post and telecommunications business are comparative series. The gray correlation comprehensive evaluation method is used to analyze the correlation between regional logistics and economic development, and to explore the impact of regional logistics development in Guangxi. The main economic factor.The empirical analysis shows that the most relevant economic development in Guangxi is agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and the primary industry. Based on this, the countermeasures and suggestions for the future development of regional logistics in Guangxi are proposed.