供给需求结构不对称经济的技术本原和调整策略

The Origin of Economic with Structural Asymmetry Between Supply and Demand and Adjustment Strategy

供给需求结构性不对称只是经济长波理论中萧条阶段的一般表征现象，真正构成它的本原 的是技术变革，或称之为技术创新。本文通过建立包括技术创新、投资预期和行为及经济周期的 分析框架，用以解释基于新旧技术交替的经济波动，并针对供给需求不对称经济的治理，建立数学 模型以证明当前的降低利率的货币政策的失误，在此基础上，提出了一般性的多政策协同作用。

Structural asymmetry between supply and demand is not the origin, but the facial phenomenon of eco- nomic depression stage which is the indispensable part in Economic Long Wave Theory. Actually, the origin is tech- nological improvement, or so -called technological innovation. This paper analyses economy fluctuation based on alternation of old and new technology, by constructing analysis frame including technological innovation, investor's expectation and behavior and business cycles. And we construct mathematical models to verify inefficiency of current monetary policy that comes into effect by cutting rate for the governance of current economic problem. Going on this premise, we believe the united strategY composed of fiscal policy, monetary policy and investment policy will achieve goal.