年工业用电量预测模型的研究

A RESEARCH ON THE MODELS FOR THE FORECAST OF ANNUAL INDUSTRIAL ELECTRIC CONSUMPTION

能源是发展生产的基础。电力是重要的能源,电力供应量与工农业的发展有十分重要的关系。反过来,工农业发展又要求有相应的供电量作保证。没有足够的电力供应是很难保证工农业生产以一定的速度发展。在当前电力供应紧张的情况下,如何根据计划工业总产值,预测所需的供电量,是人们在制定计划时必须重点考虑的问题。因而需要找出适当的预测模型,来预测工农业用电量,利于调配适当电力。

In this article, the authar has, through concrete datums, studied the models used for the forecast of omnual tolal industrial ontput valuc and annual industrial electsit consumption、By comparing three of the modets, he has brought forth a betler forecasting model, which has achieved better resultS.