宁夏旅游需求量的预测

Turism requirement forecasting of Ningxia

研究了采用 Hamm erstein模型对宁夏 2 0 0 6年的旅游需求量进行预测的方法及在市场经济条件下对该模型的修正 ,同时还提出了在小样本条件下 Hamm erstein模型是一个非线性模型 。

This paper describes how to forecast tourism requirements of Ningxia province in 2006 by using the nonlinear Hammerstein model and how to modify it under the condition of Chinese market economy.In the meantime,it is studied that how to identify the Hammerstein model by using small sample size.