产业结构、政策与区域经济发展——基于山东省的实证研究

Industrial Structure Policy and Regional Economic Development——Based on the practical research of Shandong province

通过对山东省产业结构和经济发展的实证分析发现,第二产业是经济发展的最重要推动力,尤其是工业,其次是第三产业,但这两个产业都表现为比重高,但是效率低。第一产业对经济的相对贡献力高,比重稍低。同时通过考察1992年政策节点前后对产出弹性的影响发现,市场经济竞争机制的引入对第一产业的产出弹性产生负的效应,同时增加了第三产业产出弹性,但是对第二产业没有明显的影响。

After the empirical analysis of industrial structure and economic development in Shan Dong Province, the passage proves that the sec-ondary industry, especially heavy industry, being inefficient, is the most important driver of economic development and the tertiary industry ac-counts for a large part, while the primary industry which contributes to the development of economy greatly occupies the least proportion. At thesame time, the research how the policy node before 1992 and after that influenced the output elasticity shows that the introduction of market economy competition has a bad influence on the primary industry output elasticity while contributes to the increase of the the tertiary industry. Amazingly, there is no obvious effect on the secondary industry.