灰色预测模型的数据处理及应用

THE DATA PROCESSING OF GREY FORECASTING MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION

简要分析灰色预测方法的优缺点,针对其不足之处,在建立灰色预测模型过程中提出了3种数据处理方法:指数平滑法、包络曲线法、灰模块法,应用情况表明比原方法有较好的结果。

This paper discusses briefly the characteristics of the grey forecasting method and suggests three new data processing methods: index smoothing method, envelope curve and grey model method in establishing the grey forecasting model. These methods were applied in the agriculture forecast of City D, JiLin province. Good results are obtained in the use of these methods.