油气田递减期动态预测的一种新方法

A New Method of Performance Predication in Production Decline Period of Oil and Gas Field

本文根据现代控制论中的自校正预报原理,提出了一种新的油气田递减期动态预测的自校正方法,该方法能比较准确地预报出油气田及生产井在递减期的各主要参数。实例计算表明,本文提出的方法可靠性高,适应性广,预报精度大大优于传统方法。

Based on the principle of self-correction predication in modern kybernetics, a new self-correction method for performance predication in production decline period of oil and gas fields is presented in this paper, this method may reliably predicate various main parameters in production decline period of oil and gas fields and producing wells. It is showed by actual example calculation that this method has high reliability and wide application, and the precision of predication is superior to that of the traditional method.