模型联解法在油田开发指标预测中的应用

The application of Joint-Model Solution to Prediction of Development Targets in Oilfield

选取对数正态分布的产量预测模型和logistic含水预测模型联立求解 ,进行开发指标预测。矿场实便计算结果表明 :运用该方法求得的产油量、含水率、产液量及可采储量等开发指标比较符合油田开发实际情况。该模型联解法可以作为制定油田中、长期开发规划的依据。

The prediction model of logarithmic normal output distribution and the predcctio n model of logistic water-bearing are joined in order to obtain prediction of de velopment targets.In terms of oil output,content of water bearing and so on, the development targets of these are in accordance with the demands of actual si tuation in oilfield.It can be regarded as the basis of long-term oilfield develo pment.