中国制造业资本存量永续盘存法估计

Capital Stock Estimates in Chinese Manufacturing by Perpetual Inventory Approach

KLEMS项目的目的是在北美，欧洲和亚洲进行生产率的多国比较。本文讨论了KLEMS研究中估计资本存量的基本方法－永续盘存法及其经济含义。在这个研究中，根据中国的现有数据，应用永续盘存法估计了1985－1995年间，中国制造业分部门的资本存量。本文详细地分析了估计中所使用的数据，并讨论了所使用的假设与必要的数据调整，以及这些假设与数据调整所可能带来的估计中的误差。

KLEMS project is a long-term effort to construct the international comparable database including output,prices,PPPs,labor inputs,capital inputs,energy inputs and intermediate inputs to pursue the international comparison of productivity cross the countries based on Jorgenson's approach.The paper reports the effort to build up Chinese capital stock time series in manufacturing by sectors for 1980—1995 by perpetual inventory approach in the KLEMS framework.Assumptions and adjustments applied unavoidably in our study were discussed.