广义伽马旋回模型在油气田产量与可采储量预测中的应用

A New Method for Predicting Production and Reserves of Oil and Gas Field

受翁旋回模型的启发 ,提出了用广义伽马旋回模型预测油气田产量与可采储量 ,并通过广义伽马旋回模型与翁旋回模型在双河油田年产量预测中的对比 ,证明广义伽马旋回模型在油气田产量及可采储量预测中也是实用有效的。

In this paper,a new model is established based on general Γ distribution in probability statistics.This model may be used to predict production rate,recoverable reserves ,annual maximum production rate and its occuring time of oil and gas fields.At the same time,the method of linear solution for the model is provided.Application of an oilfield indicate that the model and the method for solution are practical and efficient.