2001年世界和中国石化工业综述

Roundup of Global and Chinese Petrochemical Industry in 2001

2001年世界经济步入衰退。全球石化工业遭受重创,经济效益大幅下降。全球乙烯能力仍在大幅增长,但乙烯需求近20年来首次出现下降,全球乙烯供需严重失衡,石化工业开始进入薄利时代。展望全球石化工业,未来10年内将出现崭新格局。行业门槛提高,弱小经营者将加快退出,一体化的石油石化公司和能够获得低成本原料的化工公司将居于支配地位,投资将日益流向低成本生产地区,尤其是中东和加拿大西部地区。2001年中国石化产品需求量再创历史新高,在国内主要石化产品产量稳步增长的同时,石化产品进口量继续大幅增长,石化行业投资主体逐步呈现多元化趋势。为应对加入WTO的挑战,我国石化行业亟须深化改革和调整结构,拓展市场,扩大资源,降低成本,实现内涵发展,促进产业升级,以增强竞争能力。

The world economy was on decline in 2001, Meanwhile, the petrochemical industry worldwide saw a significant decrease in economic results. However, the global ethylene production capacity still rose considerably but the ethylene demand dropped for the first time in the recent two decades, causing serious imbalance between the ethylene demand and supply. A new situation will appear in the global petrochemical industry in the upcoming decade while small and weak operators will have to recede from this sector owing to the demand for a larger industrial scale. The integrated petroleum and petrochemical companies and the cost-effective chemicals companies will have the dominant position in the sector. Investment will increasingly focus on the low-cost production regions, such as the Middle East and the western region of Canada. In 2001, China's demand for petrochemicals set a record high with the domestic output of major petrochemicals growing steadily at the same time. There is a multi-element trend for investment in the petrochemical industry. To meet the challenge from WTO entry, the Chinese petrochemical sector should strengthen the efforts for structural adjustment, market development, resources expansion and cost reduction to modernized the industry and enhance the competitiveness.