扩展线性支出系统用于居民电力需求分析与预测

Linear Expenditure System Model for Residential Electricity Demand Forecasting

在分析影响居民电力需求的因素的基础上 ,从微观角度研究居民家庭的电力消费行为的数量表现。根据扩展线性支出系统理论建立电力消费的需求函数 ,并对居民电力消费需求的收入弹性、价格弹性进行定量分析。结果表明 ,扩展线性支出系统既可用于电力消费的分析 ,也可用于电力需求的预测。

In order to investigate the quantity characterisitcs of residential electricity consume behavior, the paper analyses the factors which effect the electricity demand. An electricity demand function is put forward according to the linear expenditure model.This paper also calculates electricity income elasticity and price elasticity. The practical case results illustrate that the linear expenditure system model is applicable for residential electricity demand analysis and forecasting.