具有模糊偏好信息韵冲突分析方法及应用

A Procedure of Conflict and Analysis with Fuzzy Prefrence Information and Its Application

矛盾和冲突是现实世界中普遍存在的现象,冲突的激化将会给冲突各方带来不同的损失。由偏对策理论发展起来的冲突分析方法是一种分析冲突解的有效方法,但该方法要求局中人直接给出所有可能冲突结果的偏好顺序,存在一定的困难。本文研究了一种局中人具有模糊偏好信息的冲突分析方法可克服上述困难以及局中人判断的模糊性。用本方法对一个水资源冲突问题进行了实例计算。

Contradictions and conflicts exsit in many aspects of real world. All parties in conflicts would suffer defferently, if the conflicts became acute. The technique of conflict analysis extended from metagame theory is a effecti procedure to analysis conflict outcomes. However, it is difficult for parties to give their preferences about all outcomes directly in the procedure. A procedure of conflict analysis with fuzzy preference information is presented and fuzziness in party's judgement and above difficult are overcome. A conflict problem of water resource was computed.