人类持久生存条件的系统动力学模型研究

Dynamic models about the conditions for human sustained existence

采用系统动力学的研究方法 ,建立起了人口总数与环境承载力之间的系统动力学模型 ,即冲突模型、掠夺模型以及和谐模型 .通过对这三个模型的研究分析 。

Three dynamic models about population descr ib ing the relation of human to the carrying capacity of nature are set up by means of dynamics theory, confliction model, predatory model, and harmonious model. B ased on the analysis of these models, the conditions of sustained coexistence of human with natural environment are obtained. In addition, the conditions of max imum human population are established as well.