地震预测与统计物理

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION AND STATISTICAL PHYSICS

将现代统计物理学的理论和方法应用于地震和地震预测问题的研究 ,近年来取得了长足的进展 ,成为物理学和地震学之间一个最为活跃的交叉领域 .这一领域所取得的成果 ,例如 ,将地震作为一种临界现象的模型 ,不仅丰富和深化了对地震的认识 ,而且改变了地震预测研究中的一些传统观念 .文章介绍了这方面的研究进展 。

In recent years, the application of the theory and methods of modern statistical physics to the study of earthquakes and earthquake prediction has had significant progress, and became one of the most active interdisciplinary frontiers between physics and seismology. Developments in this field, such as the earthquake models which regard the earthquake occurrencer as a critical phenomenon,not only improved phenomenology and understanding of the physics of earthquakes but also changed some of the traditional know\|how and methodology of earthquake prediction.This paper introduces recent advances in this field,with special emphasis on the key concepts and outstanding scientific problems related to the statistical physics of earthquakes.