聚烯烃和合成纤维价格分析与预测

Price analysis and forecast of polyolefine and synthetic fibre

2 0 0 1年亚洲聚烯烃产品价格大幅下降 ,国内市场供应过剩 ,导致国内聚烯烃价格持续下跌 ,全年平均价与 2 0 0 0年比 ,下降幅度达 1 0 %以上。预测 2 0 0 2年我国聚烯烃价格变化较为平稳 ,略有上升。 2 0 0 1年国际市场合纤原料价格走低 ,国内聚酯及涤纶供应量大幅增长 ,下游纺织品和服装出口不畅 ,棉花价格下跌 ,导致国内主要合成纤维及原料价格大幅下跌。预测 2 0 0 2年我国合成纤维及原料全年价格水平基本与 2 0 0 1年持平或略有回升。指出加入WTO后 ,国际市场特别是周边地区的石化工业对我国聚烯烃和合成纤维的影响会越来越大。

Domestic polyolefine prices continued to drop in 2001 and the average price went down by over 10% compared with the previous year because the prices in Asia dropped largely and domestic market was oversupplied.China's polyolefine prices in 2002 will be stable and have a slight rise.The domestic synthetic fibre and its feedstock prices in 2001 dropped largely because of the low prices of international synthetic fibre feedstock,increasing supply of the domestic polyester and terylene,little export of dowenstream textiles and dress,and dropping price of cotton.China's synthetic fibre and its feedstock prices in 2002 will be the same or a slight rise with the year 2001 as predicted.It is pointed out that the petrochemical industry on global market,especially regions around our country,is effecting more on China after China's WTO entry.