国际收支收入分析法的扩展与中国贸易收支的实证分析

Expansion of Analytics of International Expenses and Receipts And Positive Analysis of China Trade Revenue and Expenditure

开放经济体系中 ,当一国的投资、政府支出或者出口增加时 ,国民收入会因为贸易乘数的作用而成倍增加 ,但是三者对贸易收支却有正负作用之差异 ,因此 ,要保持贸易收支的不变化 ,必须保证出口的增长与政府支出和投资的增长保持一定的比率。同时 ,外国收入的变动也会通过乘数效应影响本国的国民收入和贸易收支 ,要增加国民收入和改善贸易收支 ,就要促进消费和扩大出口。

In the open economic system, the national income will double with the increase of the investment, the government expenditure and export in a country, which is the result of trade multiplier. They have positive and negative effects on the trade expenses and receipts. Nevertheless, in order to keep balance of the trade it is necessary to ensure the definite proportions of the increase of export and enhancement of government expenditure and investment. Meanwhile, the change rate in foreign countries can also affect national income and trade, for which we must promote the consumption and increase export to improve the national income and trade.