摘要
现代科学证明过去与来来不是等价的,混沌理论说明了非线性系统长期行为的难预测性。物理系统、生物系统和社会系统有不同的系统行为,导致了不同程度的可预见性。未来包含着不确定性,预见就是在不确定性中寻找确定性的认识活动。预见的可能空间可以在不同水平上体现,在社会系统中预见会对未来产生影响。
It is proved by modern science that the past cannot be equivalent to the future. The chaos theory has revealed the difficulty to foresee the long - term behavior of nonlinear system. The physical, biological and social systems have different behaviors, which results in the different predictability. The future contains uncertainty, for this reason, prediction is the cognition to seek certainty in uncertainty. The possible space of prediction can be reflected at different levels. The forecasts may affect the future in social system.
出处
《常德师范学院学报(社会科学版)》
2002年第3期69-72,共4页
Journal of Changde Teachers University(Social Science Edition)