农民消费影响因素的灰色关联度分析(英文)

Gray Correlation Degree Analysis of Factors Affecting the Consumption of Farmers

简述了中国农村的消费现状,介绍了灰色关联度方法的基本思想和分析步骤。通过分析农民消费与8项基本生活消费支出的灰关联度,得出了影响农村居民消费的宏观和微观因素。根据相关统计数据,从时间和截面序列及全国角度出发,运用灰色关联度模型研究了东、中、西部地区及全国范围内农民消费与其宏观、微观影响因素的灰关联度。结果表明,农民消费需求已从满足基本生活需求开始逐步转向改善生活条件、提高生活质量的需求;农业信息开发、农村基础设施建设及社会保障等宏观因素是影响农民消费水平的主要因素;医疗保健、家庭设备及文教娱乐用品是农民今后消费的重点。基于此,提出了相关对策:不断提高农村居民的个人可支配收入、完善农村的基础设施建设、建立健全的社会保障制度和畅通的信息系统等。

Consumption status of rural China is briefly described. Basic ideas and analysis steps of Gray Correlation Degree Analysis are introduced. Based on the gray correlation degree between farmers’ consumption and 8 items of basic living consumption expenditures, both macroscopic and microscopic factors affecting the consumption of rural residents are obtained. According to relevant statistical data, Gray Correlation Degree Analysis is used to study on the gray correlation degree between the farmers’ consumption and the macroscopic and microscopic factors in eastern, central and western regions and the whole China from the angle of time and cross-section sequences. Result shows that farmers’ consumption has gradually changed from basic needs to the needs of improving living conditions and life quality. Agricultural information development, rural infrastructure construction, social security, and other macroeconomic factors are the main reasons affecting the consumption level of peasants. And health care, household equipment, and cultural and educational entertainment products are the major consumption for farmers in future. Based on these, relevant countermeasures are put forward, such as increasing personal disposable income of rural residents, improving the infrastructure construction in rural areas, and establishing a perfect social security system and an unimpeded information system.