县域农村教育对经济增长贡献的实证分析——以重庆市永川区为例(英文)

An Empirical Analysis of Contribution of Rural County Education to Economic Growth——A Case of Yongchuan Region of Chongqing,China

介绍了教育投入对经济增长贡献的实证模型的推导过程,在此基础上,以重庆市永川区为例,根据该区1981～2008年的相关统计数据,利用菲德模型研究了永川区县域教育投入对经济增长的直接作用和外溢作用,所得回归方程的拟合精度较高,各变量系数均通过了显著性检验。研究表明,县域教育投入对经济增长的影响系数为0.821,其对经济增长的贡献较小,还不到资本投资贡献的1/10;教育部门的边际生产力高于非教育部门;县域农村教育的外溢作用对农村经济增长起反向拉动作用,其影响系数为-3.102,这可能与当地人才流失严重、教育体制不健全、教育理念落后、经济发展水平较低等因素有关;当前,县域农村经济增长还处于资本拉动阶段。提出了现阶段应加强教育投入力度、深化现行农村教育体制改革等,以促进农村教育与农村经济的协调发展。

This paper introduces the derived process of the empirical mode that the investment in education has made a good contribution to the economic growth.Based on this point,taking Yongchuan region as an example and depending on the related statistics collected form 1981-2008,the paper carries out a study on the direct influences and the spillover that the investment in rural education makes to the economic growth through Feide Mode,that the fitting accuracy of the regression equation is relatively high and each variable coefficient has undergone very detailed significant tests.The study shows that the influence coefficient of investment in education to the economic growth is 0.821.The contribution to the economic growth is comparatively low,less than 1 percent of capital investment.The marginal productivity of education sector is higher than other sectors.The spillover influence of the education makes a reverse contribution to the economic growth,and the coefficient is minus 3.102.This may bear some relations to some factors,such as:the serious outflow of talent,the unsound education systems,the backward education concepts and the low level of economic development.At present,the economic growth of the rural counties is still in a capital pull stage.In this stage,the investment in education should be enhanced and the reform of the rural education system should be intensified to accelerate the harmonious development of the rural education and the economic growth.