摘要
现有震害预测方法多带有模式法的痕迹,预测结果难以真实、全面地反映城市系统的现状特征。基于在预测系统与真实系统之间建立等价联系的思想。本文提出了建立城市“震害预测仿真系统”的思想与方法。
Basing on the state-of-the art of carthquake disaster predicition, this paper presented the idea of simulation predicition. Considering the equivalent relationship between the predicition system and the real system, we have discussed a general method to set up the simulation system of carthquake disaster predicition.