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Dynamic analysis and assessment for sustainable development 被引量：2

Dynamic analysis and assessment for sustainable development
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摘要 The assessment of sustainable development is crucial for constituting sustainable development strategies. Assessment methods that exist so far usually only use an indicator system for making sustainable judgement. These indicators rarely reflect dynamic characteristics. However, sustainable development is influenced by changes in the social\|economic system and in the eco\|environmental system at different times. Besides the spatial character, sustainable development has a temporal character that can not be neglected; therefore the research system should also be dynamic. This paper focuses on this dynamic trait, so that the assessment results obtained provide more information for judgements in decision\|making processes. Firstly the dynamic characteristics of sustainable development are analyzed, which point to a track of sustainable development that is an upward undulating curve. According to the dynamic character and the development rules of a social, economic and ecological system, a flexible assessment approach that is based on tendency analysis, restrictive conditions and a feedback system is then proposed for sustainable development. The assessment of sustainable development is crucial for constituting sustainable development strategies. Assessment methods that exist so far usually only use an indicator system for making sustainable judgement. These indicators rarely reflect dynamic characteristics. However, sustainable development is influenced by changes in the social\|economic system and in the eco\|environmental system at different times. Besides the spatial character, sustainable development has a temporal character that can not be neglected; therefore the research system should also be dynamic. This paper focuses on this dynamic trait, so that the assessment results obtained provide more information for judgements in decision\|making processes. Firstly the dynamic characteristics of sustainable development are analyzed, which point to a track of sustainable development that is an upward undulating curve. According to the dynamic character and the development rules of a social, economic and ecological system, a flexible assessment approach that is based on tendency analysis, restrictive conditions and a feedback system is then proposed for sustainable development.
作者 SHI Xiao\|qing (Department of Systems Ecology, Research Center for Eco\|Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China. )
出处 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2002年第1期88-94,共7页 环境科学学报（英文版）
基金 TheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina (Nos.79930 80 0 7990 0 0 2 1 39770 149)
关键词 sustainable development ASSESSMENT dynamic analysis sustainable development assessment dynamic analysis
分类号 X22 [环境科学与工程—环境科学] X24 [环境科学与工程—环境科学]
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参考文献12

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同被引文献16

  • 1Maclaren V W.Urban sustainability reporting[J].Journal of the Americal Planning Association,1996,62(2): 185 -202.
  • 2Cocklin C R.Methodlogical problems in sevaluating sustainability [J ].Environment Conservation,1989,16(4):27-32.
  • 3WCED(World Commision on Environment and Development,1987).Our common future[M].Oxford University Press.
  • 4Yarlagadda P K D V.Prediction of processing parameters for injection moulding by using a hybrid neural network[J].Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers.Part B.Journal of engineering manufacture,2001,215(10):1465 - 1470.
  • 5Srinivas M,Patnaik L M.Adaptive probabilities of crossover and mutation in genetic algorithms[J].IEEE Transactions on System,Man and Cybernetics,1994,24(4):656-667.
  • 6国家统计局城市社会经济调查总队.中国城市统计年鉴2000[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2001..
  • 7WCED(World Commision on Environment and Development,1987).Our Common Future[M].Oxford University Press.
  • 8Maclaren V W.Urban sustainability reporting[J].Journal of the American Planning Association,1996,62(2):185-202.
  • 9Cocklin C R.Methodlogical problems in evaluating sustainability[J].Environment Conservation,1989,16(4):27-32.
  • 10Yarlagadda P K D V.Prediction of processing parameters for injection moulding by using a hybrid neural network[J].Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers.Part B.Journal of engineering manufacture,2001,215(10):1465-1470.

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Journal of Environmental Sciences
2002年 第1期

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