林火管理中的适度风险管理探讨

Discussions on the Risk Management in Handling Forest Fires

提出实现森林火灾减灾效益最大 ,必须在火生态评估的基础上区分两类性质不同的火。定义了林火风险价值、风险度、风险成本 ,及其所包含的内容和关系式。此系统具体数值的确定 ,可为防火资源的优化配置 ,火灾损失的预估及扑火力量的确定 。

To accomplish the maximum efficiency in handling forest fires, it is necessary to distinguish two types of fires on the basis of ecological evaluation. Parameters such as risk value, risk degrees, risk cost and their relations are proposed, defined and discussed. The assignment of the values of these parameters will offer an economic foundation for the optimal distribution of fire resources, the prediction of the fire losses, the estimation of the needed fire fighting forces and the formulation of the fire fighting planning.