物流业公共交通基础设施动态趋势分析——基于中国2001—2012年省域面板数据

A Dynamic Trend Analysis on Logistics Public Transport Infrastructure:Based on the Provincial Panel Data(2001-2012)

采用线性潜变量发展模型对中国物流业公共交通基础设施的动态发展趋势进行实证分析。研究表明:就整体而言,中国物流业公共交通基础设施初始平均水平较高,但不能为其后续发展提供足够的动力和支撑。就省域间比较而言,无论从空间地域上,还是时间维度上,均存在着显著的不均衡,且这种不均衡表现出逐年扩大的趋势。

This article uses linear latent growth model （Linear LGM ） to evaluate the dynamic development trend of logistics public transport infrastructure .The results show that ,on the whole ,the initial average of logistics public transport infrastructure is higher and significant ,however ,which can＆#39;t supply enough power for its subsequent development ;partly ,no matter from the space ,or on the time , here is a significant imbalance among the provincial , more seriously , this unbalanced phenomenon is expanding year by year and so on .Hereby ,we put forward relevant policy suggestions .