基于偏离-份额分析法的安徽省林业优势产业的选择研究

Study on selection of forestry dominant industry in Anhui province based on shift-share method

安徽省属于林业比重较大的省份,是我国南方集体林区的重点省份之一,林业在安徽经济发展过程中发挥了重要作用。文章以安徽省林业产业为研究对象,采用偏离-份额分析的方法,研究林业产业结构的特点,探索林业产业发展的潜力,并对其优势产业进行了选择研究,为优势产业的发展指明了方向。计算分析表明:安徽省应以林业旅游与休闲服务,非木质林产品加工制造业,陆生野生动物繁育与利用,林产化学产品制造四个产业作为优势产业,并进一步强化森林资源的开发与利用,以此推动省域林业经济的快速发展。

Forest resources accounts for a large proportion in Anhui province, it is one of the key provinces of collective forest area in southern China. Forestry also plays an important role in the development of economy in Anhui province. The forestry industry structure and characteristics, industry potential were analyzed and the dominant industries in Anhui province were screened out by using the shift-share analysis method. The results show that the forestry tourism and leisure services,non-timber forest product process industry, terrestrial wild animal breeding and utilization, forest chemical products manufacturing should be the four dominant industries in Anhui province and should strengthen forestry development and utilization of forest resources so as to promote the development of forestry economy booming.