摘要
本文从宏观因素上和结构因素上分别对我国外贸进出口总额增减变动趋势进行分析,在宏观方面运用逐步回归,得出1985-2009年我国外贸进出口总额的变动主要取决于国内生产总值和实际利用外资两个因素的变动。在结构方面运用动态分析,得出了影响外贸进出口总额最重要的因素是机械和运输设备的进出口额。
This paper analyzes the fluctuation trend of China＇s import and export trade gross from macro factors and structure factors.By using stepwise regression in the macro aspect, the conclusion shows that the fluctuations of China＇s import and export trade gross from1985 to 2009 mainly depends on the fluctuation of GDP and the actual utilization of foreign capital. In terms of the structure factor, a conclusion was made that the import and export gross of machinery and transport equipment affects the import and export trade gross with dynamic analysis.
出处
《价值工程》
2014年第23期162-164,共3页
Value Engineering
关键词
逐步回归
动态分析
外贸进出口
stepwise regression
dynamic analysis
import and export trade
