基于贝叶斯理论的导弹发动机可靠性研究

The Reliability of Missile Engines Based on Bayesian Theory

基于贝叶斯理论研究了小子样可靠性分析方法,结合某型导弹发动机,构建了可靠性分析模型并进行了仿真分析。结果表明,该理论方法能够比较准确地反映导弹发动机的可靠性现实状况,对提高复杂导弹武器系统的可靠性评定具有一定的理论借鉴意义。

Missile engine reliability issues are researched.Studying on small sample reliability analysis methods based on Bayesian theory,combined with a certain type of missile engines,a model of reliability analysis and simulation-based analysis are built.The results show that the theory can more accurately reflect the realities of the reliability of missile engines,which has some theoretical reference to improve the reliability of complex assessment of the missile weapon system.