解禁集体自卫权:安倍内阁年度最大挑战

Lifting the Ban on the Right of Collective Self-Defense:the Biggest Challenge for the Andouble Administration This Year

2012年末,安倍以较高人气顺利进驻永田町,所推出的"安倍经济学"为其赢得了暂时民望和长期执政预期。同时,安倍通过渲染中朝等周边威胁、制造东海和南海联动、强化日美同盟等博得民意和社会基础,开启了作为其夙愿的解禁集体自卫权进程。解禁集体自卫权涉及修改宪法、国民投票法等一系列法律环节,关乎国家安全保障会议和修改武器出口三原则走势,直接影响日本能否成为正常国家和强化军备成为军事大国。因此,解禁集体自卫权注定成为安倍内阁年度热点和焦点大戏。与此同时,面对中韩等国家的反对,安倍以及日本政坛和社会进一步右倾化的风险与挑战也陡然加大。

At the end of 2012,Abe entered into office with relatively high votes,and the Andouble Economics he advocated has won him temporary popularity and long ruling expectations.Meanwhile,by playing up the threats from China,DPRK and other neighbors,linking the East China Sea with the South China Sea,and strengthening the Japan-US alliance,Abe began the process of lifting the ban on the right of collective self-defense as he had long dreamed on the basis of such popularity and social foundation. Lifting the ban on the right of collective selfdefense will involve a series of legal processes including constitutional amendment and national voting,is concerned with the National Security Council and the development of amending the three principles governing arms export,and will directly influence whether or not Japan will become a normal state and a military power by strengthening armament. As a result,lifting the ban on the right of collective self-defense will be the hot and focal drama of the year for the Andouble administration. At the same time,faced with opposition from China,ROK and other nations,the risks and challenges of Abe,Japanese politics as well as society turning further right will grow drastically.