韩国农村庆典对区域经济产生的影响

Rural celebration impact on the regional economy in Korea

本文分析了韩国农村庆典对区域经济的波及效应。庆典的分析方法有投入产出分析模型、凯恩斯乘数和经济基础模型等。采用经济基础模型对32个农村庆典区域的输出乘数计算的结果,全部在3.0以上,特别是浦项市达到了14.28,在32个市郡当中最高,这意味着访问浦项市的游客对区域经济的波及效应大。利用算出的乘数,计算出32个地区约波及效应,32个地区全部游客支出为10亿元,而对区域经济的波及效应额为57亿元,是庆典总支出12亿元的4.7倍。

In this paper, the ripple impacts of rural village festivals on regional economy in Korea was analyzed. There are a few methods to analyze the economic impacts of regional events including input-output model, Keynesian Multiplier and Export Base Model. Here, Export Base Model was used. Estimation values of Export multipliers of thirty two rural village festivals in Korea were all higher than 3.0, especially which of Pohang-shi reached the highest value of 14.29. It means that expenditure of the visitors to the festivals held in Po- hang-shi have a great ripple effect to the regional economy. The total expenditure of the visitors to thirty two rural village festivals was estimated to be 1.0 billion won and its ripple effect was estimated to be 5. 7 billion won, which is about 4. 7 times as much as the total costs required for the festivals.