我国现行计划生育政策的成效、限度与未来

The Family Planning Policy in China: Effects,Limitations and Future

中国计划生育政策实施三十多年来,取得了重大历史成效,人口增长得到有效控制、人口素质显著提升、计生服务能力快速提高;但计划生育政策的推行也带来了明显的负效应,如:人口年龄结构倒梯形、出生人口性别比失衡、人口素质的城乡二元结构、独生子女风险家庭等问题。目前,中国人口基数依然庞大、人口控制任务依然繁重、人口素质依然有待提升。因此,就当下而言,计划生育政策仍需紧跟社会变迁而调整、修补与完善而非刻板僵化。

After 30 years of application, China＇ s family planning policy has made great historical achievement effectively controlled population increase,obviously promoted population quality,and a better service. The passive effect of this policy is also obvious,for example own trapezoid population age structure, unbalanced sex proportion, Ruralurban dual structure population quality,and the risk of onlychild family. China has a large population so population control is still important. This policy should change along with the society with reasonable amendments.