基于熵值理论的中国能源消费结构与产业结构关系研究

Relationship between Energy Consumption Structure and Industrial Structure of China-Based on Entropy Theory

当前,我国正处在产业结构优化调整的重要时期,研究我国能源消费结构和产业结构之间相互影响的模式,为我国产业和能源的相关政策制定提供参考,对促进我国经济、能源与环境的可持续发展具有重要意义。本文引入信息熵理论来衡量能源消费结构和产业结构的演化过程,运用计量经济学中的协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验对中国1953-2011年能源消费结构和产业结构关系进行定量评价。研究发现两者存在长期的协整关系,不同时期,两者之间的影响模式不同。

It＇s an important period for China to optimize and adjust current industrial structure.Therefore,it is the great significance for our country to optimize industrial structure and energy consumption,making the sustainable development among energy,economy,and the environment by conducting a research on the energy consumption structure and the industrial structure of our country.This paper measures the evolution of the energy consumption structure and the industrial structure by introducing the information entropy theory,using the co-integration test and granger causality test of applied econometrics to test the relationship between the two models.The study finds that it has a long term co-integration between the energy consumption structure and industrial structure of China,but it changes in different period.