教育人力资本收支平衡性分析

Human Capital Accounting Dynamics:Empirical Evidence from Provincial Inventory in China's Mainland

受各种因素影响,作为人力资本主要形式的教育收支出现局部不平衡。通过建立实存账户和盘存账户,本研究一方面测算各省历年的教育人力资本存量和流量,另一方面对比教育人力资本的总量、均值和劳动人口数量在两个账户之间的差异,分析各省账户收支的平衡性。研究发现,教育人力资本收支不平衡的省份几乎都是人口流动的频发地区,实证结果也证实了人口流动会对教育人力资本账户收支的平衡性产生显著影响,教育人力资本总量和均值与人口流动之间显著正相关。

Human capital stock accounting failed to produce local equilibrium in some provinces due to manyvariables influencing inflow and outflow. The paper estimates annual human capital stocks measured by educationalattainment in both gross and per capita approaches. The deviation between actual account and perpetual inventory accountof human capital stock, the gross and average years of schooling of the labor force in each province were taken into account.The authors provided convincing evidence that between-province migration affected human capital accumulation, the flow ofwhich had significant effects, the host provinces of quality migrants would enjoy human capital bonus with a surplus, whilehome provinces would suffer brain drains with a deficit.