中国西部地区承接产业转移力度的空间计量研究

Spatial Econometrics Analysis on Western China's Undertaking Capacity of Regional Industrial Transfer

以重庆市为例,采用中国2002-2010年省际面板数据对中国西部地区承接产业转移力度的影响因素进行了空间计量研究。结果表明:成本因素中税收竞争是影响产业转移的关键;投资环境因素中相对经济发展水平、市场化水平对承接力度有显著的抑制作用,相对技术差距有促进作用,相对开放度、工业产业集聚程度和基础设施水平的影响则不显著,其中,相对技术差距的影响最大;市场潜力因素中相对工业成本费用利润率对于产业转移力度有消极的阻碍作用,相对总资产贡献率和产品销售率的影响则有限。鉴于此,提出重庆市提升产业转移力度的政策建议。

Taking Chongqing as an example, we analyze the effect factors of undertaking capacity in regional industrial transfer in western China with the provincial panel data from 2002 to 2010. The spatial econometrics analysis shows the results. About the cost factors, the tax is the most important factor for the undertaking capacity of industrial transfer. About the investment environment factors, the economic development and mercerization level can reduce the undertaking capacity while the technology gap will promote it. The influence of regional industrial concentration, openness and infrastructure construction condition is quite limited. And the technology gap is more important than others. About the market potential factors, relative industrial cost can reduce the undertaking capacity while the effects of relative total assets and the sale rate are not important. In view of this, we give some policy suggestions to improve the undertaking capacity of industrial transfer in Chongqing.