地方政府救市应三思慎行

The Local Government Should Think Twice and Act Carefully Before Bailout

进入2014年,持续上涨多年的房价在部分城市开始出现下降。成交萎缩、价格下降、投资回落、房贷收紧表明楼市低迷,由此"拐点论"、"崩溃论"甚嚣尘上。在此背景下,部分地方政府上演救市大戏,对楼市进行干预。如果地方政府习惯于重走救市老路,多年来促使房价回归合理的调控目标将会落空,部分城市住房供大于求的局面将会更加恶化。楼市走向关系国计民生,无论房价是涨是跌最终要交由市场决定。保持调控定力,不仅适用于宏观经济,也同样适用于楼市,地方政府救市应三思慎行。

Since 2014, the continuous soaring house price began to descend in part cities. The shrinked turnover, descended price, falling investment and tightened mortgage showed the depressed real estate market. The ＂Inflection Point Theory＂ and ＂ Collapse Theory＂ busrt out. Uner this background, part of local government engaged in bailout, and interfered the real estate market. The adjusting target will fail under the habitual bailout taken by governments, and the situation of excessive supply will be aggravated. The charting trend of real estate market is important to the national interest and people＇s livelihood, so the ascending and descending should both be determined by market. The maintenance of regulation concertration are both fit to macroeconomy and the real estate market. Thus, the local governments must think twice and act carefully before bailout.