基于动态博弈方法的健康整合理论模型构建

The Building of Theory Model of Integrated Health Based on the Dynamic Game Method

健康整合的理论模型不是具体的服务、资源或制度整合模型,而是一个循证决策的理论假说。基于对系统复杂性的认知,提出自组织系统中的自利行为主体具有一定的自适应性的前提假设,继而通过动态博弈方法分析一定环境下主体的行为和子系统之间相互作用的关系,提出系统内要素和机制的整合范式,并借用系统回路分析给出外部指令输入后系统的整体作用方向和作用结果,最终构建出嵌套的整合模型,以实现辅助政策循证或整合管理的目的。

The theory model of ＂Integrated Health＂ is not a specific integrated model of serve, resource or institution but a theory hypothesis of evidence - based decision. The model propose that the self - interested behavioral agent of ＂self - organizing system＂ have particular adaptive- ly, so this paper analyzed interactional relation between the stakeholders＂ behavior and subsystem by dynamic game, and proposed integrated ex- ample of elements and mechanisms in system. Finally, by the system return circuit analysis, this paper raised direction and result when the pe- ripheral order inputted the system, and built the integration model in order to assist evidence- based policy or ＂integrated management＂.