供应链运作模式下物流网络库存需求水平的数学预测模型构建

Establishment of Mathematic Forecasting Model of Inventory Demand Level of Logistics Networks under Supply Chain Operation Mode

从数学建模的角度定量研究了供应链运作模式下物流网络库存需求水平的预测问题,分析了物流网络供应链中批发零售企业、供应商和物流配送中心三者各自的库存需求总量预测计算方法及其相互关系,分别构建了批发零售商和物流配送中心的库存需求数学模型、物流配送中心和供应商的库存需求数学模型,最后以某个连锁经营超市物流配送网络相关数据对预测模型进行了验证和检查,结果表明该预测模型可以精确地计算出供应链环境中物流网络相关主体的库存需求总量,从而能够为相关的库存管理控制决策提供参考。

In this paper, using mathematical models, we quantitatively studied the forecasting of the inventory level of logistics networks under the supply chain operation mode, analyzed the method of forecasting and calculation of the total inventory demand of the wholesaling/retailing enterprises, suppliers and logistics distribution centers within the supply chains, built the inventory demand models of the three, and at the end verified them in connection with a certain chain supermarket.