随机需求下的最优库存策略研究

Study on Optimal Inventory Strategy under Stochastic Demand

从风险分析的角度出发,将普遍研究的不考虑缺货的随机需求问题扩展到考虑缺货风险和积压风险的情境下,在此基础上运用概率和统计分析的方法建立正态分布的函数模型,并借助数学公式求解得出了若干采购周期内,缺货量服从正态分布下的企业年度利润,进一步得出零售企业单周期内的最优订货数量和最大收益。

In this paper, from the angle of risk analysis, we extended the commonly-seen study on the stochastic demand problem without considering the issue of cargo shortage into the one that considered the risk of cargo shortage and overstocking, on the basis of which we used the probability and statistics analyzing method to build the normal distribution based function model and further obtained the optimal order quantity and maximum revenue of the retailing enterprises within a single circle.