基于多元线性回归的商品房价格影响因素实证分析

On empirical analysis of factors affecting commercial house prices based on multiple linear regression

依据凯恩斯理论和房地产泡沫理论,以统计年鉴2000年～2012年相关数据作样本,选取了当年年人均收入、新增住房面积、上一年商品房价格三个影响房价的因素,利用相关分析和多元线性回归分析测度其对房价的影响,找出了引起房价波动的主要因素,并提出了控制房价的建议。

According to Keynesianism and property-value bubble theory,the paper takes the statistical yearbooks in the period of 2000~2012 as the data sample,finds the three factors on house prices,that is,contemporary per capita income,newly increased housing areas,and property prices in previous year,discusses their influence on property prices by adopting the relevant analysis and multiple linear regression,figures out the main factors for the price fluctuation,and points out some suggestions for controlling the property prices.