摘要
应用计量分析方法,选取云南省1980—2012年共33年的时间序列数据进行分析,以检验云南省出口贸易与碳排放之间的关系。检验结果显示:云南省出口贸易与碳排放之间存在长期均衡关系,出口贸易每增加1%,导致碳排放增加0.44%,出口贸易是碳排放的granger原因。云南省出口贸易的增长正以牺牲环境为代价,因此应该构建对外贸易绿色结构体系,这样才能实现贸易与经济的可持续发展。
This paper analyzes the linkage between Yunnan export trade and carbon emission by applying the methods of econometric. Based on the time series data from 1980 -2012, it measures the influence of export trade on carbon emission. The conclusions are: there is a long - term equilibrium relationship between Yunnan export trade and carbon emission, and a 1% increase in export trade results in carbon emission by up to 0. 44%, and export trade is the Granger cause of carbon emission. In view of this, a green structure system of export trade should be built so as to realize the sustainable development of trade and economy.
出处
《云南民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第5期139-142,共4页
Journal of Yunnan Minzu University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
基金
云南省教育厅重点项目"低碳经济背景下云南省对外贸易模式转型研究"(项目编号:2012Z044)