欠发达地区人口大县城镇化动力机制分析

Analysis of Urbanization Dynamic in Less-developed Counties with Large Population in Sichuan Province

本文基于城镇化动力机制的二元论,剖析了四川省欠发达人口大县的经济发展动力、政策体制动力与劳动力转移动力对城镇化进程的带动作用,以揭示欠发达地区人口大县城镇化动力的实质。研究表明,欠发达地区工业化与城镇化发展脱节,工业发展对城镇化发展带动较小;由政府财政支撑的城镇服务设施建设与转移劳动力对当地的经济带动作用对城镇化发展的贡献较大。欠发达地区人口大县城镇化发展由于内生性动力不足面临不可持续发展的挑战。

Urbanization of counties with large population in Sichuan province is far behind that of developed areas in China. To get a better understanding of dynamic characteristics of urbanization in these counties,this paper starts from building mathematical models to get a comprehensive evaluation of urbanization of less-developed counties with millions of people in Sichuan province,and summarizes the characteristics of dynamic mechanism of urbanization in these counties. Based on the statistic study,it conducts correlation analysis between urbanization level index and dynamic variables such as economy,industrialization,policy and system dynamics and the transfer of labor force,and explores the contribution of various dynamics to the urbanization process from perspectives of both top-down and bottom-up impetus. Finally,it tries to reveal the typical dynamic of urbanization in less-developed counties with large population in Sichuan province and provide reference for the urbanization of other similar counties.