转移性收入对农村消费影响的门槛效应研究

Threshold Effect of Transfer Income on Consumption Expenditure of Rural Residents

通过构建面板门槛模型,基于中国大陆30个省份1998—2010年数据实证检验转移性收入对农村居民消费的影响,结果发现:转移性收入对农村居民的食品、居住、家庭设备、医疗保健类消费支出具有正向促进作用,这种促进作用因收入水平的不同而呈现非线性门槛特征;随着居民收入水平的提升,转移性收入对食品和居住类消费的正向影响不断增大,对家庭设备类消费的正向影响趋于减弱。这表明,提高转移性收入在农村居民收入中的比重,有利于启动农村消费市场。

Based on panel threshold modes,this paper tests the non- linear relationship between transfer income and consumption expenditure of rural residents by using China’ s provincial- level panel data from 1998 to 2010. The results show that transfer income has a positive effect on consumption expenditure in food,residence,household facilities,health care and medical services,and the effect of transfer income on consumption expenditure is featured by the threshold effect. With the rising of residents’ income,positive effect of transfer income is increasing on consumption expenditure in food and residence,and decreasing on consumption expenditure in household facilities. A conclusion is draw n that the increase of transfer income can further activate the demand of the rural consumer market.